September
14th 2008
The science of bluffing

Posted under poker & poker bluff & poker tips & poker tricks

According to the 2006 World Series of Poker winner, Jamie Gold, he wants to be celebrated as the finest bluffer in the world. But if his last tournament is any clue, his wish may not be granted any time soon.

The setting is the 2007 Doyle Brunson Five Diamond World Poker Classic held at the Vegas Bellagio in 2007. Featuring $50 - $100 blinds and a $15,000 buy-in, Darrell Dicken is just barely holding on. The seat 4 player has just raised his bet to $300, a tiny increase with only one player biting the line. “I put him as being weak,” Jamie said, “I was thinking about raising, but instead I just called with a 10-3 of hearts to see what would happen.”

Jamie thought that Brad Booth would make some kind of move, which he did. He re-raised to $1600 from the big blind. Gold was thinking that Booth had a reasonable hand, but he was in a good position to make a move considering the amount of dead money in the pot. Dicken ended up folding, and the unknown in Seat 4 called Booth’s raise.

At this point there was more than $4000 in the pot, so Jamie raised the wager by $4000. His thought was, only if someone else had aces or kings there would be no chance they would make that call. Jamie’s plan was to make a sizeable move on the flop, as long as no ace came up. The second part of his plan was to get Booth to fold, which he did. Booth folded with pocket queens.

On the flop there was an ace of ace-6-5, two clubs. The player in seat 4 checked and Jamie bet $2000. Jamie’s primary thought was to make him think that he had clubs. Seat 4 laid down a $10,000 chip, but didn’t say anything thus converting his raise into a call. Jamie’s thought was that seat 4 in all likelihood had an ace, but you have to protect it in case he hits his set on the upcoming card.

A 2 of hearts showed up on the turn, and Jamie folded to what he thought was a top pair kicker. Seat 4 displayed a king-jack off suit. Seat 4 beat Gold by bluffing with a superior hand, he made a terrific play and took the bluff to the end of the poker tournament.

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